Most Americans trust fair elections

About six in ten Americans are confident the midterm elections will be conducted fairly and accurately, according to an ABC News/Washington Post/Ipsos poll.

Confidence rises among registered voters

Over two-thirds of registered voters say midterms will be conducted fairly. But nearly four in ten Americans and about three in ten voters are not confident.

Democrats and Republicans largely aligned

Similar majorities of Democrats at seventy percent and Republicans at sixty-seven percent are confident midterms will be conducted fairly. Independents are less confident at fifty-one percent.

Vote counting confidence at sixty-five percent

About two-thirds of Americans are confident midterm votes will be counted accurately, including twenty-six percent who are very confident. Confidence rises to seventy-two percent among registered voters.

Trump threatens California election officials

The Trump administration recently escalated its feud with California over noncitizen voting, threatening to criminally prosecute election officials. There is no evidence noncitizen voting is widespread or has altered results.

Seven in ten doubt Trump will accept loss

Seven in ten Americans are not confident Trump will accept midterm results if the Republican Party loses, including half who are not at all confident.

Only twenty-eight percent trust Trump's acceptance

Just twenty-eight percent of Americans say they are very or somewhat confident Trump will accept midterm results if Republicans lose. This closely matches a December two thousand twenty-three poll about the two thousand twenty-four election.

Trump's false fraud claims persist

Trump has continued to falsely assert widespread voter fraud caused Biden to win in two thousand twenty. Leading to two thousand twenty-four, he said he would only accept results if they were fair and legal.

“fair and legal”

Democrats overwhelmingly doubt Trump

Ninety-four percent of Democrats are not confident Trump will accept midterm results if Republicans lose, including seventy-nine percent not at all confident. Seventy-seven percent of independents agree.

Republicans more confident in Trump

Sixty-three percent of Republicans are confident Trump will accept a loss if Republicans lose, though just twenty-five percent are very confident. Seventy-four percent of MAGA Republicans are confident.

Majority say Trump opposes fair elections

Sixty-one percent of Americans say Trump is not committed to free and fair elections, up from fifty-six percent in two thousand twenty-five. Just thirty-seven percent say he is committed.

Democrats expected to win House by two to one

By about a two to one margin, more Americans expect Democrats to win House control in November at thirty-five percent than Republicans at sixteen percent. Twenty-eight percent say it is a tossup.