From Al Jazeera · Rory Challands · · 2m
Burnham's first hundred days: can hope sustain three years?
Three months in, the UK PM has the polls and the public mood. Now he must deliver tangible change before 2029.
In brief
Three months in, the UK PM has the polls and the public mood. Now he must deliver tangible change before 2029. Andy Burnham has reversed Labour's polling decline and won public favour through emotional communication and cost-of-living policies, but must deliver major reforms before the next election in 2029…
The moment that defined Burnham's speech
At his Labour conference in Liverpool, PM Andy Burnham fell silent for twenty seconds while composing himself to speak about his father's death two weeks earlier. The audience stood and applauded.
Burnham's emotional register strikes a chord
Unlike his predecessor Keir Starmer, who came across as wooden and robotic, Burnham is more emotional and relishes communicating big ideas. In modern political discourse, this emotional connection matters.
The polls show Labour's turnaround

Politico's Poll of Polls had Labour retake top spot shortly after Burnham became PM, a position it has not relinquished since.At the end of September, Ipsos found Burnham the only politician with positive net favourability.
The challenge: sustaining hope for three years
Burnham must deliver tangible change before the next general election in 2029. Political analyst Sam Freedman asks how he keeps the hope vibe going for three more years with relatively little visible progress.
“So many in Westminster keep coming back to an early election, despite Burnham ruling it out … No one can quite figure out how Burnham keeps the hope vibe going for three more years with relatively little visible progress.”
Port Talbot shows Labour's recovery
In the Welsh town of Port Talbot, Labour had fallen to third place in May's Senedd elections behind Plaid Cymru and Reform UK.
“[But now], it's kind of going back to what Labour was in the 50s and 60s, where they actually looked after the working-class people.”
Early domestic wins on cost of living
In his first weeks, Burnham capped bus fares, cut VAT on electricity bills, and cut business rates for pubs.
Devolution and big structural reforms planned
Burnham announced mayors could keep a share of business rates from April twenty twenty-seven and income tax from twenty twenty-eight.
“has done more harm than good”
Foreign policy shows continuity, not change
On foreign affairs, Burnham differs little from predecessors.He visited Ukraine in August with a gift of British know-how for the SCALP missile.
Defence spending remains unresolved
The government's formal defence pledge is three point five percent of GDP by twenty thirty-five, but Burnham has declined to say whether he would pay for it with tax rises or welfare cuts.
The budget will reveal what's affordable
Burnham's first budget comes at the end of October.His biggest pledges on reindustrialisation, public services, and social care are expensive.
The essence
Andy Burnham has reversed Labour's polling decline and won public favour through emotional communication and cost-of-living policies, but must deliver major reforms before the next election in 2029.





