Cover art for 1.5°C warming threshold could arrive by 2029

1.5°C warming threshold could arrive by 2029

Two new reports at COP31 show the world is falling further behind on climate goals, with the critical warming threshold arriving a decade earlier than previously projected.

Nov 13, 2026

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1.5°C warming threshold could arrive by 2029

Two new reports at COP31 show the world is falling further behind on climate goals, with the critical warming threshold arriving a decade earlier than previously projected.

In brief

Two new reports at COP31 show the world is falling further behind on climate goals, with the critical warming threshold arriving a decade earlier than previously projected. Global warming is accelerating faster than expected, with the 1.5°C threshold now projected to arrive by 2029 instead of 2045, driven by continued…

Two reports warn of accelerating warming

Shot from COP31 Conference

At COP31 in Antalya, Turkey, Climate Action Tracker and the European Union's Copernicus climate service released findings showing the world is falling dangerously behind on climate goals.

Planet on track for catastrophic warming

Climate Action Tracker found the planet is still on track to warm nearly five degrees Fahrenheit by twenty one hundred, which would devastate coral reefs, disrupt agriculture and forests and melt most of the world's…

Critical threshold arriving a decade early

When the Paris agreement was adopted, warming was projected to cross two point seven degrees Fahrenheit above preindustrial levels around twenty forty-five. Copernicus now projects this will happen as soon as twenty twenty-nine.

Warming has accelerated since Paris deal

The European Union scientists wrote that global warming has accelerated significantly since the twenty fifteen Paris climate agreement. Greenhouse gas concentrations from human activity remain the main driver of this trend.

“This striking change suggests that global warming has accelerated in recent years.”

Greta Thunberg: crisis is life and death

Swedish activist Greta Thunberg, attending COP31 for the first time since twenty twenty-one, said the climate crisis is a matter of life and death and that actions from those in power are completely detached from…

“The climate crisis is a matter of life and death.”

Government climate action has stalled

Sarah Heck of Climate Analytics said collective government action on climate change has stalled for the fifth consecutive year.Efforts to shift away from fossil fuels have been negated by new oil and gas drilling projects.

“Collective government action on climate change has stalled for the fifth consecutive year.”

Host nations block climate language

Turkey and Australia, conference co-hosts, have opposed including the word clean in electrification targets.Australia is a major coal exporter and Turkey is a major coal consumer, with neither offering plans to transition from fossil fuels.

The headline

Global warming is accelerating faster than expected, with the 1.5°C threshold now projected to arrive by 2029 instead of 2045, driven by continued greenhouse gas emissions and fossil fuel expansion.

Read the original on Ars Technica

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