From BYU Cougars On SI · · 1m 40s
BYU FPI Predicts Bounce Back Against ASU
ESPN FPI gives BYU 90.2% chance to beat ASU in Big 12 title race.
In brief
ESPN FPI gives BYU 90.2% chance to beat ASU in Big 12 title race. BYU has a 90.2% chance to beat ASU per ESPN FPI, with playoff hopes tied to Utah game. Originally reported by BYU Cougars On SI.
BYU returns to ASU
BYU will play ASU at home after losing to UCF, the first time since losing to ASU in the 2023 Big 12 championship.
ESPN FPI odds
FPI gives BYU a 90.2% chance to beat ASU, the easiest remaining game with at least 75% chance to win all games except Utah.
Playoff chances drop
BYU's chance to finish with 11 wins dropped from 55% to 19% after losing to UCF, with playoff odds falling from 70.6% to 49.0%.
Big 12 title race
No team has better than a 35% chance to win the Big 12, with BYU and Texas Tech losses making the race wide open.
Playoff impact
BYU needs 11 wins to guarantee playoff entry, with 10-2 teams likely needing tiebreakers to reach championship game.
Big 12 contenders
Six Big 12 teams have over 1% playoff odds, with Utah leading after beating Houston and BYU close behind.
Arizona's role
Arizona has not lost since week two, with Noah Fifita's team potentially turning the Big 12 race if they beat Texas Tech.
Rivalry games
Utah plays Arizona after emotional rivalry game against BYU, controlling their own Big 12 title race destiny.
Next steps
BYU's playoff hopes ride on Utah game, with 11-1 finish guaranteeing playoff entry regardless of Big 12 championship outcome.
What matters most
BYU has a 90.2% chance to beat ASU per ESPN FPI, with playoff hopes tied to Utah game.
