RBNZ Holds Rates in 4-3 Vote

New Zealand's central bank keeps rates steady despite market expectations for a hike, sending the kiwi dollar plummeting.

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Oct 28, 2026

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RBNZ Holds Rates in 4-3 Vote

New Zealand's central bank keeps rates steady despite market expectations for a hike, sending the kiwi dollar plummeting.

In brief

New Zealand's central bank keeps rates steady despite market expectations for a hike, sending the kiwi dollar plummeting. New Zealand's central bank held interest rates at 2.75% in a 4-3 vote, causing the kiwi dollar to drop 1.7% against the US dollar. Originally reported by BigGo Finance.

RBNZ holds rates

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Holds Rates in Nail-Biting 4-3 Vote; Kiwi Dollar Plunges 1.7% at One Point

New Zealand's central bank unexpectedly held its Official Cash Rate at 2.75% on the 28th, with the Monetary Policy Committee narrowly approving the decision by a 4-3 vote.

Kiwi dollar plunges

The New Zealand dollar tumbled as much as 1.7% against the US dollar to 0.5586 after the announcement.

Market reaction

The benchmark NZX 50 equity index fell 0.5% in tandem, and the policy-sensitive two-year government bond yield dropped 12 basis points to 3.82%.

Economist expectations

Economist expectations

Of 25 economists surveyed by the media, only 2 expected rates to stay on hold, with the rest forecasting a quarter-point hike.

Policy split

Those supporting a hike argued for a quarter-point increase to 3.00% to prevent inflation from becoming entrenched, while those favoring a wait-and-see approach focused on fragile recovery.

Inflation data

New Zealand's September-quarter inflation ran at 3.7% year-on-year, still above the 1% to 3% target range, with the central bank projecting it to rise to 4.4% in the December quarter.

Governor Breman

Governor Anna Breman said holding rates was consistent with prior communication and signaled future hikes may come.

Market impact

Stephen Toplis, head of research at Bank of New Zealand, called the decision 'frankly taken aback' and noted it pushed the kiwi dollar lower, intensifying inflation pressures.

Election context

The decision comes just 10 days before New Zealand's general election, with economic and inflation outlook a focal issue for voters.

The short version

New Zealand's central bank held interest rates at 2.75% in a 4-3 vote, causing the kiwi dollar to drop 1.7% against the US dollar.

Read the original on BigGo Finance

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