From Buenos Aires Times · Facundo Fernández Barrio, AFP · · 1m 10s
Brazil Polls Miss Right-Wing Surge
Brazilian right-wing candidates outpace polls in election surprise.
In brief
Brazilian right-wing candidates outpace polls in election surprise. Flávio Bolsonaro edges Lula in Brazil's first-round election with 47% support despite polls showing Lula ahead by 3 percentage points. Originally reported by Buenos Aires Times.
Brazilian Polls Miss Right-Wing Surge
Brazilian pollsters missed the mark in Sunday's first-round election, joining global struggles to gauge right-wing voter support.
Bolsonaro Edges Lula in Vote
Right-wing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro secured nearly 47 percent of the vote compared to Lula's 45 percent in Sunday's election.
Polling Error in Brazil
The Datafolha pollster showed Lula three percentage points ahead while Quaest showed a one-point lead for Lula.
Shy Vote Phenomenon
Voters who dislike other options may not disclose their choice to pollsters, creating the 'shy vote' phenomenon.
Strategic Voting Boosts Right
Some voters switched support to leading candidates like Bolsonaro to make their vote count, despite third-party candidates gaining only eight percent.
Right-Wing Surge Ahead
Bolsonaro's campaign manager stated the Brazilian right performed three to four percent better than polls predicted in the last four elections.
The big picture
Flávio Bolsonaro edges Lula in Brazil's first-round election with 47% support despite polls showing Lula ahead by 3 percentage points.
