From CNBC Indonesia · Dovana Hasiana · · 50s
Indonesia Trade Surplus Expected to Drop in September
Indonesia's trade surplus forecast falls sharply as oil prices weigh on imports.
In brief
Indonesia's trade surplus forecast falls sharply as oil prices weigh on imports. Indonesia's trade surplus is projected to drop to $1.79 billion in September 2026, down from $3.55 billion in August, due to higher oil prices boosting imports. Originally reported by CNBC Indonesia.
Trade surplus forecast
Indonesia's trade surplus is expected to drop significantly in September 2026.
August surplus figure
August 2026 surplus stood at US$3.55 billion.
September surplus projection
Bank Permata forecasts September surplus at US$1.79 billion.
Key driver of decline
Higher oil prices boost imports more than exports.
Export growth projection
Exports grow 9.39% annually in September 2026.
Import growth projection
Imports grow 23.07% annually in September 2026.
Trade deficit risk
Trade deficit could widen to 2.49% of GDP by 2026.
The headline
Indonesia's trade surplus is projected to drop to $1.79 billion in September 2026, down from $3.55 billion in August, due to higher oil prices boosting imports.
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