Will Burnham now go for an early election?

New mega-poll shows Labour with 56-seat Commons majority under Andy Burnham, with Reform third behind Tories.

Oct 15, 2026

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Will Burnham now go for an early election?

New mega-poll shows Labour with 56-seat Commons majority under Andy Burnham, with Reform third behind Tories.

In brief

New mega-poll shows Labour with 56-seat Commons majority under Andy Burnham, with Reform third behind Tories. Labour would win 353 seats in Commons if election held tomorrow, giving Burnham a majority with Reform third behind Tories. Originally reported by Dailymail.

New mega-poll shows Labour majority

Labour would win 353 seats in the House of Commons if a general election were held tomorrow.

Labour's 56-seat majority under Burnham

Labour enjoys a reversal in fortunes under Andy Burnham with 56-seat Commons majority.

Reform UK third behind Tories

Reform UK is projected to have 21 per cent of the vote behind the Tories at 18 per cent.

Tories projected at 18 per cent

The Conservatives are projected to win 90 seats with 18 per cent of the vote.

Labour's vote up from 17 per cent

Labour's support has risen to 28 per cent from 17 per cent in April.

Reform UK's vote down

Reform UK's support has dropped from 21 per cent to 21 per cent in the latest poll.

Restore Britain's 8 per cent

Restore Britain, fronted by Rupert Lowe, is projected at 8 per cent.

Labour's tactical voting

More than a third of Labour voters are willing to vote Tory to keep Reform out of power.

Kemi Badenoch's party

Kemi Badenoch's party would have more MPs than Reform UK with 81 constituencies.

Labour's 353 seats

Labour is projected to win 353 seats in the House of Commons.

Burnham's Left-of-centre rhetoric

Burnham has used clear Left-of-centre rhetoric to win back voters from Liberal Democrats and Greens.

Right split

The Right remains split with Restore Britain winning only one seat.

Conservatives and Reform pact

A pact between Conservatives and Reform would give them just 171 seats.

Labour's majority

Labour now has an outright majority with 353 seats compared to 171 for Conservatives and Reform.

Fieldwork dates

Fieldwork for the latest MRP was conducted between 25 September and 2 October.

Burnham's early election speculation

Many in Westminster are braced for Mr Burnham to call a national vote in May next year or as soon as this December.

Here's the gist

Labour would win 353 seats in Commons if election held tomorrow, giving Burnham a majority with Reform third behind Tories.

Read the original on Dailymail

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