From Foreign Policy · Laura Mills · · 2m
Russia the Disruptor
Russia's war in Ukraine reshapes global order as Moscow pivots from the West.
In brief
Russia's war in Ukraine reshapes global order as Moscow pivots from the West. Russia's invasion of Ukraine has triggered a global realignment, with Moscow leveraging non-Western alliances to evade sanctions while the West struggles to adapt. Originally reported by Foreign Policy.
Russia's War in Ukraine
Russia's invasion of Ukraine began in 2022, marking a major shift in global power dynamics.
Historical Context
The Cold War ended in 1991, leaving Russia vulnerable to Western expansion and NATO enlargement.
NATO Expansion
NATO expanded from 12 to 32 members between 1999 and 2004, increasing tensions with Russia.
U.S. Policy Shifts
The U.S. prioritized NATO expansion and democratization in Eastern Europe, alienating Russia.
Economic Impact
Russia's economy suffered from the 1998 stock market crash and subsequent economic reforms.
Putin's Early Years
Putin offered intelligence assistance to the U.S. after 9/11 but was ignored by Washington.
U.S. Intervention in Iraq
The U.S. pushed for regime change in Iraq, further straining relations with Russia.
Russia's Pivot
Russia built a shadow fleet to evade oil price caps and increased trade with China and Turkey.
Global Alliances
Russia strengthened ties with North Korea and Iran for military supplies and drone technology.
Sanctions Evasion
Russia decoupled its economy from the U.S. dollar, increasing reliance on the yuan.
Military Consequences
Approximately 1 million soldiers are estimated to have been injured or killed in the war.
Global South Support
Many Asian and African countries have aligned with Russia at the UN against Western pressure.
U.S. Political Instability
Trump's actions in Iran and Ukraine have undermined Western unity and stability.
Long-Term Implications
The war has created a more fragmented and unstable global order with Russia as a disruptive force.
Conclusion
Russia's actions have reshaped global power dynamics, with the West struggling to adapt to a more chaotic world.
What matters most
Russia's invasion of Ukraine has triggered a global realignment, with Moscow leveraging non-Western alliances to evade sanctions while the West struggles to adapt.
