From Foreign Policy · Stephen M. Walt · · 1m 20s
Why Nobody Can End Ukraine War
No one has the cards to stop Ukraine war.
In brief
No one has the cards to stop Ukraine war. Ukraine and Russia remain in a hurting stalemate with no effective process to end the war. Originally reported by Foreign Policy.
War Stalemate
Ukraine and Russia remain in a hurting stalemate.
Ukraine's Struggle
Ukraine suffers significant losses despite smaller size.
Russia's Miscalculation
Putin thought war would end in days.
Biden's Mistake
Biden accelerated Ukraine's NATO path.
Trump's Pressure
Trump told Zelensky he didn't have the cards.
U.S. Mediation Failure
U.S. alternates between sides without pushing for peace.
Ukraine's Goals
Ukraine wants to regain lost territory.
Military Escalation
Both sides develop new weapons and expand targets.
Russia's Gray Zone
Russia attacks Europe to pressure Ukraine support.
Economic Costs
War strains European economies and fuel supplies.
China's Benefit
China gains from Europe-U.S. distraction.
Mediation Questions
Who can mediate effectively? What settlement is feasible?
U.S. Leverage
U.S. could pressure both sides for peace.
Ukraine's Realistic Goals
Ukraine won't regain Crimea or Donbas.
Trump's Incompetence
Trump lacks people to handle peace talks.
War Continues
War will continue with both countries worse off.
The headline
Ukraine and Russia remain in a hurting stalemate with no effective process to end the war.
