From Fortune · Lindsay Newman · · 1m 10s
Middle Powers at Risk in AI Era
Middle powers face losing geopolitical influence as private tech firms lead AI development.
In brief
Middle powers face losing geopolitical influence as private tech firms lead AI development. Middle powers are lagging in AI development and supply chains, allowing private tech firms to dominate global power dynamics. Originally reported by Fortune.
Middle powers trending
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney urged middle powers to get 'at the table' or risk ending up 'on the menu' at Davos in January.
“at the table or else end up on the menu”
Private sector leads
Nvidia's market cap sits below Germany's annual GDP and ahead of Japan's while Apple ranks below Japan but above India.
AI dominance

Private firms like SpaceX and Blue Origin lead 21st century space exploration with Elon Musk's Starlink deployed across conflict zones.
AI security threats
Anthropic reported ai misuse including cyber operations targeting southeast asian governments and undersea weapons systems.
“a cyber operation targeting a southeast asian government agency to extract civilian records”
Geopolitical shift
The Trump administration designated Anthropic a supply chain risk to u.s. national security after clashes over ai use.
“a supply chain risk to u.s. national security”
Middle powers lag
Stanford's 2026 AI Index shows u.s. has 59 notable ai models to china's 35 with south korea having eight.
“59 notable ai models”
Private sector takes seats
Middle powers will not exert geopolitical leverage without leading ai development or dominating ai supply chains.
The one thing
Middle powers are lagging in AI development and supply chains, allowing private tech firms to dominate global power dynamics.



