Midterms and Stocks: Why Politics Shouldn't Touch Your Portfolio

Midterm elections won't boost stocks, keep politics out of your portfolio this November.

Oct 15, 2026

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Midterms and Stocks: Why Politics Shouldn't Touch Your Portfolio

Midterm elections won't boost stocks, keep politics out of your portfolio this November.

In brief

Midterm elections won't boost stocks, keep politics out of your portfolio this November. Investors should avoid political predictions and focus on long-term market trends as midterms historically boost S&P 500 returns. Originally reported by Kiplinger.

Why politics shouldn't touch your portfolio

Positioning your portfolio with electoral politics in mind is a bad idea before November's midterm elections.

Barry Ritholtz's advice

Barry Ritholtz, co-founder of Ritholtz Wealth Management, urges keeping politics out of investing because it's emotional while investing is logical.

Historical stock performance

Data compiled by Ryan Detrick on S&P 500 fourth-quarter returns since 2013

The S&P 500 has risen 18 straight times following midterms since 1954, with a 17.2% average annual return.

Ryan Detrick's insight

Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, says the fourth quarter of a midterm year is historically the best quarter for stocks.

Gridlock benefits stocks

A divided Congress often helps the stock market by avoiding sweeping legislative changes.

Monica Guerra's analysis

Monica Guerra's analysis

Under a Republican president and split Congress, the S&P 500 historically gains 23% post-midterm versus 12% across all outcomes.

Long-term market stability

U.S. stocks have climbed under both parties since 1945 with midterm results having limited impact on long-term market performance.

The big picture

Investors should avoid political predictions and focus on long-term market trends as midterms historically boost S&P 500 returns.

Read the original on Kiplinger

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