From Lead Stories · · 1m 40s
Voter Registration Rates Do Not Exceed Adult Citizens in States
Social media claims voter registration rates exceed adult citizens in Colorado, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and others, but Census estimates are inexact.
In brief
Social media claims voter registration rates exceed adult citizens in Colorado, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, and others, but Census estimates are inexact. Voter registration rates in Colorado, Maryland, Virginia, and New Jersey do not exceed adult citizens as Census estimates have margin of error. Originally…
Social Media Claim
Social media posts claimed Colorado, Maryland, Virginia, and New Jersey have voter registration rates exceeding adult citizens based on Census estimates.
“🚨 ELECTION ISSUES: Colorado has more registered voters than Census adult citizens.”
Census Estimate Source
The claim used Census 2020-2024 adult-citizen estimates from the American Community Survey, not the full 10-year Census.
“The survey produces useful numbers for example for planning highways, hospitals, power plants, etc.”
Margin of Error
The American Community Survey has a margin of error due to sampling, with statistical noise added to protect respondent confidentiality.
“The estimates from the ACS are based on a sample survey and hence are subject to sampling error.”
Actual Turnout Rates
Colorado counties show voter turnout rates between 62.57% and 77.81% of active voters, far below the claimed registration rates.
“San Juan County (archived here) TOTAL 77.81% Ballots Cast: 582 Active Voters: 748”
Virginia Data
Virginia localities show voter turnout rates between 58.45% and 65.44% of active voters, not exceeding the claimed registration rates.
“Fairfax City Active Voters: 18,225 Inactive Voters: 1,013 Voters: 19,238 Ballots Cast: 11,326 Voter Turnout: 58.87%”
New Jersey Data
New Jersey counties show voter turnout rates between 39.19% and 50.60% of active voters, not exceeding the claimed registration rates.
“Union County (archived here) Voter turnout TOTAL 45.87% Ballots Cast: 182,323 Registered Voters: 397,454”
Other States
The same account claimed similar issues in Maryland, Michigan, and Alaska, but no specific turnout data was provided.
“Three other states, Maryland, Michigan and Alaska, were targeted by the same account.”
Why the Discrepancy
Voter rolls include inactive voters, moved residents, and old names, which can cause registration numbers to exceed census estimates.
“Numbers from the ACS not matching voter roll counts does not necessarily prove election fraud.”
Fact Check Result
Voter registration rates do not exceed adult citizens in Colorado, Maryland, Virginia, New Jersey, or other states as Census estimates have margin of error.
“The numbers reported by the states in the claim do not show more votes than registered voters.”
The takeaway
Voter registration rates in Colorado, Maryland, Virginia, and New Jersey do not exceed adult citizens as Census estimates have margin of error.
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