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Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's election win

Lula's surprise re-election triggers 14% stock drop as investors fear fiscal promises.

Oct 30, 2026

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Brazilian stocks plunge after Lula's election win

Lula's surprise re-election triggers 14% stock drop as investors fear fiscal promises.

In brief

Lula's surprise re-election triggers 14% stock drop as investors fear fiscal promises. Brazilian stocks fell 14% after Lula's election victory, with investors worried about his fiscal policies. Originally reported by MoneyWeek.

Lula's re-election victory

Luiz Inácio Lula Da Silva waving a Brazil flag – Brazilian stocks fell after his election victory

Brazilian stocks and its currency suffered a Black Monday following Lula's surprise re-election win.

Stock market plunge

The benchmark Ibovespa index dropped 14% with the real currency falling 8% against the dollar.

Market reaction

Investors sent the MSCI Brazil index down 25% compared to the 1987 Black Monday Wall Street crash.

Lula's political position

Lula's political position

Lula entered the second round as the underdog after trailing behind Bolsonaro in the first round.

Fiscal promises

Lula's victory came with 15% family benefits, fuel tax holiday, student stipend, free weekend transport, and reduced work week.

Economic challenges

Brazil's public debt is 83% of GDP with interest payments eating 35% of government revenue.

Investor perspective

Analysts say investors are overreacting to Lula's promises despite his strong economic record.

The bottom line

Brazilian stocks fell 14% after Lula's election victory, with investors worried about his fiscal policies.

Read the original on MoneyWeek

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