From NZ Herald · · 1m 40s
National’s electorate MPs could fuel party instability
National’s smaller caucus risks instability as electorate MPs gain power.
In brief
National’s smaller caucus risks instability as electorate MPs gain power. National’s electorate MPs may cause party instability after election, with Janet Wilson warning of leadership challenges and Labour’s potential government. Originally reported by NZ Herald.
National’s election results
National’s party vote dropped in every seat compared to 2023.
Janet Wilson’s warning
Wilson says National’s smaller caucus could fuel party instability and invite leadership challenges.
Electorate MPs gain power

Electorate MPs now wield more power than list MPs due to no list MPs.
Max Harris’s view
Harris believes Labour could form government after special votes are counted.
Tāmaki results
Harris came second in Tāmaki, won by National’s Mahesh Muralidhar.
Wilson’s analysis
Wilson says National is a hollow straw man with lost urban liberal wing.
Two sides in National
National has power-for-power’s-sake camp and disillusioned members.
Opportunity’s role
National may need Opportunity for confidence and supply.
Labour leadership
Labour leader Chris Hipkins may face leadership questions if no government.
Leadership challenge
Wilson expects leadership challenge against Luxon in medium term.
Centrist disillusionment
Centrist vote shifting to Opportunity as National loses urban support.
Special votes timeline
Special votes not fully counted until November 27.
National’s hollow state
National has lost half senior front seats and a quarter of party vote.
Kieran McAnulty
Kieran McAnulty seen as Labour’s frontrunner for leadership.
Election 2026 podcast
Election 2026 podcast features Wilson and Harris discussing National’s future.
What happens next
National may face leadership challenge and Labour could form government.
The key point
National’s electorate MPs may cause party instability after election, with Janet Wilson warning of leadership challenges and Labour’s potential government.