Why questioning Christopher Luxon's resignation over Opportunity matters

Luxon refuses to resign over Opportunity but won't stake job on it.

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Why questioning Christopher Luxon's resignation over Opportunity matters

Luxon refuses to resign over Opportunity but won't stake job on it.

In brief

Luxon refuses to resign over Opportunity but won't stake job on it. Christopher Luxon won't resign to speak with Opportunity but National won't work with them after election. Originally reported by NZ Herald.

Luxon's stance on Opportunity

Christopher Luxon ruled out National working with Opportunity in July but won't stake his job on that commitment.

“We wouldn't be working with them”

Opportunity's election prospects

Opportunity is polling around 5% necessary to enter Parliament after the November 8 election.

“Opportunity is polling around the 5% threshold necessary to enter Parliament”

Left and right need Opportunity

Left and right need Opportunity

Recent polls show the left and right blocs may need Opportunity to form a Government after the election.

“Recent polling shows the left and right blocs may need Opportunity to form a Government after the election”

Luxon's hypothetical response

Luxon refused to answer whether he'd resign rather than negotiate with Opportunity after the election.

“That’s a ridiculous question. It’s a hypothetical question because we’re sitting here out from November 7”

Why resignation question matters

Former leaders have used resignation threats to show consequences for changing positions.

“Sir John Key promising to resign rather than change superannuation entitlements”

National's coalition strategy

Qiulae Wong and Opportunity Party will enter Parliament if the party receives more than 5% of the vote.  Photo / Sylvie Whinray

National exists to govern and Act runs on locking others out of power.

“National exists to govern. One of National’s potential coalition partners, Act, is literally running on a slogan of locking the other guys out of power”

Luxon's dilemma

Luxon picks when to engage with hypotheticals but voters dislike politicians having it both ways.

“Luxon’s decision to not say whether he’d resign rather than speak to Opportunity shows he is picking and choosing when to engage with a hypothetical”

Election outcome uncertainty

Opportunity's support may peak and fall below 5% threshold before November 8 election.

“Opportunity’s support appears to have peaked, it’s only hovering just above the 5% mark”

Voter behavior risk

Christopher Luxon wouldn't answer the question during the Stuff leaders debate.

Voters might pull out at last minute if Opportunity supports bloc they are less keen on.

“It’s not a far-fetched scenario that New Zealanders, currently keen on the party that purports to be centrist, freak out at the ballot box at the idea of Opportunity supporting the bloc they are less keen on”

What happens next

Whether Opportunity enters Parliament depends on November 8 election results.

“Qiulae Wong and Opportunity Party will enter Parliament if the party receives more than 5% of the vote”

The takeaway

Christopher Luxon won't resign to speak with Opportunity but National won't work with them after election.

Read the original on NZ Herald

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