Ontario Deficit Soars to $16.9B as Trump Tariffs Hit

Ontario's budget deficit jumps to $16.9 billion amid Trump tariffs, delaying balanced budget by four years.

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Oct 29, 2026

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Ontario Deficit Soars to $16.9B as Trump Tariffs Hit

Ontario's budget deficit jumps to $16.9 billion amid Trump tariffs, delaying balanced budget by four years.

In brief

Ontario's budget deficit jumps to $16.9 billion amid Trump tariffs, delaying balanced budget by four years. Ontario's 2026-27 budget deficit is forecast at $16.9 billion, up $3 billion from March's estimate, due to Trump tariffs. Originally reported by National Post.

Ontario's Deficit Forecast

The 2026-27 budget deficit is now forecast at $16.9 billion, up $3 billion from March's $13.8 billion estimate.

2027-28 Deficit Doubles

The 2027-28 deficit is forecast at $12.7 billion, more than double the $6.1 billion predicted in March.

2028-29 Deficit Stays Negative

2028-29 Deficit Stays Negative

Ontario is expected to remain $5.7 billion in deficit for 2028-29, missing the balanced budget target.

Fourth Delayed Budget Target

This marks the fourth time in the Ford era that the government has pushed back its balanced budget target date.

Trump Tariffs Impact

Tariffs on over 50% of Ontario's exports to the U.S. have slowed GDP growth and job creation.

Ford Government's Stance

The government claims it has constrained public service growth at 1.6% since 2017 versus a 30% federal rise.

No Spending Cuts Announced

Despite budget pressures, the government announced no public service cuts or buyouts, only efficiency reviews.

Ford's Paradox

Ford criticizes government waste but avoids tough measures when delivering bad economic news.

What matters most

Ontario's 2026-27 budget deficit is forecast at $16.9 billion, up $3 billion from March's estimate, due to Trump tariffs.

Read the original on National Post

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