From New York Post · · 1m 20s
Rutgers got humbled, and that's the bet
A five-score favorite lost to UMass, and the fallout created a price worth taking in Boston.
In brief
A five-score favorite lost to UMass, and the fallout created a price worth taking in Boston. When a market overreacts to one ugly loss, the underdog price can drift past what the team is actually worth. Originally reported by New York Post.
The worst loss in football
Rutgers was a five-score home favorite over UMass last Thursday and lost 37-21. Two late scores dressed up a game that was never close.
“No college football program was more embarrassed than Rutgers in Week 1.”
Schiano is on the clock
That result ended the nation's longest active losing streak, for UMass. Greg Schiano's job is now in question heading into Friday night.
“Greg Schiano's job is now in jeopardy”
Boston College limped too
The Eagles lost 34-15 to Cincinnati, another final score padded by garbage time. They open as 3.5-point favorites at Alumni Stadium.
The numbers disagree
Bill Connelly's SP+ had Rutgers as a 3.5-point favorite over BC on a neutral field before Week 1. The line has swung a full touchdown the other way.
“the market may be overreacting a bit here”
Bet on the response
Blowouts like that one usually get answered, because when they don't, heads roll. Expect a full-throttle effort from a team playing for its coach.
“We should get a full-throttle effort from Rutgers on Friday night.”
Wait for your price
Few bettors will rush to back Rutgers after last week, so there's no hurry. The play is Rutgers moneyline at +140.
“The Play: Rutgers moneyline (+140, Fanatics Sportsbook)”
The key point
When a market overreacts to one ugly loss, the underdog price can drift past what the team is actually worth.
