From Newsweek · · 50s
Alaska Senator Faces Polling Shift
Peltola leads Sullivan in Alaska Senate race amid fishing policy clash.
In brief
Peltola leads Sullivan in Alaska Senate race amid fishing policy clash. Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Dan Sullivan in Alaska Senate race by 5 percentage points in latest poll, with both campaigns highlighting fishing industry policies. Originally reported by Newsweek.
Poll Shows Peltola Lead
Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Dan Sullivan in Alaska Senate race by 5 percentage points.
“Democrat Mary Peltola holds a tight lead over Republican incumbent Senator Dan S. Sullivan in Alaska's Senate race ahead of the November election”
Detailed Poll Breakdown
Peltola wins 46 percent in initial ballot, Sullivan 41 percent with 4 percent for Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
“The survey, conducted by AARP between September 8-11, showed Peltola on 46 percent of the vote in the initial ballot, and Sullivan on 41 percent”
Demographic Advantage
Peltola leads by 45 points among voters under 50, 18 points among 35-49 year olds.
“Peltola maintains a strong lead among voters aged under 50, including a net 45-point lead among those aged 18-34”
Fishing Policy Clash
Peltola criticizes Sullivan's campaign for accepting $300,000 from trawling industry.
“She accused Sullivan's campaign of accepting 'nearly $300,000 in donations from the trawling industry'”
Sullivan's Response
Sullivan promotes Bycatch Reduction Act to protect salmon and military build-up in Alaska.
“He also said last week that he had worked with his colleagues and the Trump administration to 'deliver the largest military build-up in Alaska since World War II'”
Prediction Markets
Prediction markets show Peltola victory probability at 68 percent.
“As of September 17, Kalshi priced a Peltola victory at 68 percent and a Sullivan win at 35 percent”
The bottom line
Democrat Mary Peltola leads Republican Dan Sullivan in Alaska Senate race by 5 percentage points in latest poll, with both campaigns highlighting fishing industry policies.
