From Newsweek · · 1m 10s
Nate Silver's Forecast Shifts After Fake Polls Removed
Nate Silver's election forecast moves Republican as fake polls vanish.
In brief
Nate Silver's election forecast moves Republican as fake polls vanish. Nate Silver adjusted his midterm election forecast toward Republicans after removing fake polls from Wedgewood Polling. Originally reported by Newsweek.
Forecast Shift
Nate Silver's midterm election forecast shifted slightly toward Republicans after removing fake polls.
Fake Polls Removed
Wedgewood Polling admitted fabricating most of its polls after FiftyPlusOne found irregularities.
Michigan Senate Race
Abdul El-Sayed's lead fell from 3.6 points to 3 points in the Michigan Senate race.
Polling Industry Impact
Major aggregators and media removed Wedgewood data, citing risks from fake polls.
Michigan Lead Change
El-Sayed's lead dropped from 3.6 points to 3 points after adding Marist poll showing 2-point lead.
Generic Ballot Shift
Democrats fell from 51.7 percent to 51.5 percent, Republicans dropped from 42 percent to 41.9 percent.
Wedgewood's Admission
Wedgewood revealed most polls were fabricated after FiftyPlusOne found data irregularities.
Industry Response
Polling aggregators banned Wedgewood from future data, noting risks of fake polls influencing elections.
The key point
Nate Silver adjusted his midterm election forecast toward Republicans after removing fake polls from Wedgewood Polling.
