From Newsweek · · 1m 20s
Talarico Leads Paxton in Every Texas Senate Poll for First Time
James Talarico now leads Ken Paxton in all current Texas Senate polls for the first time, with Hispanic voters shifting decisively.
In brief
James Talarico now leads Ken Paxton in all current Texas Senate polls for the first time, with Hispanic voters shifting decisively. Talarico leads Paxton in every pollster's latest Texas Senate race data, driven by Hispanic voter support. Originally reported by Newsweek.
Talarico Leads All Polls
James Talarico leads Ken Paxton in polls from eight different pollsters, including a one-point margin in Emerson College's latest survey.
“Talarico leads Paxton in polls conducted by eight different pollsters for the first time ahead of the U.S. Senate election in November.”
Hispanic Voters Shift
Texas Hispanic voters now favor Talarico by 15 points, 54 percent to 39 percent, according to Emerson College's latest poll.
“Texas Hispanic voters, who broke for Trump in 2024, now break for Talarico by 15 points, 54 percent to 39 percent.”
Paxton's Favorability Drops
Paxton has a 40 percent favorable rating versus Talarico's 48 percent, showing a weakening image among voters.
“Paxton's figures ran in the opposite direction: 40 percent viewed him favorably and 48 percent unfavorably.”
Economy Dominates
The economy is the top issue for voters, with 36 percent citing it as the most important factor in the race.
“The economy was the leading issue in Emerson College Polling’s September survey, cited by 36 percent of voters.”
Trump's Support
President Trump has praised Paxton as the 'greatest attorney general in America' and criticized Talarico online.
“President Donald Trump has thrown his support behind Paxton, calling him the 'greatest attorney general in America.'”
Campaign Response
Talarico's campaign claims Paxton uses AI to mislead voters, while Paxton's team released an AI-generated attack ad against him.
“James Talarico is weaponizing faith to sell a radical agenda.”
Historical Context
Texas hasn't elected a Democratic U.S. senator since Lloyd Bentsen won reelection in 1988.
“Texas has not elected a Democratic U.S. senator since Lloyd Bentsen won reelection in 1988.”
Recent Polling Shift
Emerson College's latest poll shows Talarico leading by one point, with a 3.3-point margin of error, after previous polls showed Paxton ahead.
“Emerson College's previous poll, conducted between August 9 and 10, was the last time that Paxton held the lead in any poll.”
The big picture
Talarico leads Paxton in every pollster's latest Texas Senate race data, driven by Hispanic voter support.
