From Newsweek · · 2m
Trump's Ohio Rallies Fail to Boost Husted
Trump's Ohio campaign visits don't move Jon Husted's Senate race.
In brief
Trump's Ohio campaign visits don't move Jon Husted's Senate race. Trump's repeated Ohio trips failed to shift polling for Jon Husted in Ohio's Senate race. Originally reported by Newsweek.
Trump Returns to Ohio
President Donald Trump returned to Ohio Wednesday to campaign for Jon Husted, but polling and prediction markets show no lasting boost for the incumbent Republican senator.
Polling Stays Stable
Democrat Sherrod Brown leads Jon Husted by 3.3 points in the RealClearPolling average, 48.2 percent to 44.9 percent, while prediction markets favor Brown.
Prediction Markets Shift
Kalshi priced the race at 68 percent for Brown and 32 percent for Husted, while Polymarket showed 69 percent for Brown and 31 percent for Husted.
Trump's Campaign Impact
Trump's visits to Ohio have moved the race slightly toward Husted, but the change is too small to be meaningful.
Husted's Campaign Critique
Brown's campaign claims Husted voted 14 times to continue the war in Iran, brought 226 data centers to Ohio with $2.5 billion in tax deals, and cut health care for half a million Ohioans.
Trump's Rally Speech
Trump praised Husted's physique, comparing his image to 'Clark Kent to Superman,' and claimed Epstein hung out with Democrats.
Prediction Markets Decline
Prediction markets show Husted's chance dropped from 39.4 percent to 32 percent on Kalshi and 42 percent to 31 percent on Polymarket since Trump's first visit.
Forecasters Keep Race Toss-Up
Major forecasters rate Ohio's Senate race as highly competitive, with Brown having a 56 percent chance of winning.
Turnout Critical for Outcome
Midterm elections depend on turnout, and Husted's election is key to maintaining the Republican Senate majority.
Survey Shows Dead Heat
The latest Echelon Insights survey found both candidates at 47 percent with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.2 points.
Rally Effect Minimal
Across three visits, the race shifted by just four-tenths of a point toward Husted, far too little to show a meaningful impact from Trump's rallies.
Why It Matters
Midterm elections are critical for the president's party, and Ohio's Senate race determines who completes the Senate term won by Vance in 2022.
At a glance
Trump's repeated Ohio trips failed to shift polling for Jon Husted in Ohio's Senate race.
