Trump's Senate Approval Rating Drops Ahead of Midterms

Trump's approval rating falls in key Senate races as Democrats aim to flip the chamber two weeks before midterms.

Oct 20, 2026

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Trump's Senate Approval Rating Drops Ahead of Midterms

Trump's approval rating falls in key Senate races as Democrats aim to flip the chamber two weeks before midterms.

In brief

Trump's approval rating falls in key Senate races as Democrats aim to flip the chamber two weeks before midterms. Trump's approval rating is underwater in seven Senate battlegrounds, giving Democrats a chance to flip the chamber ahead of midterms. Originally reported by Newsweek.

Trump's Senate Approval Rating Drops

President Donald Trump's approval rating remains low in Senate battlegrounds as Democrats and Republicans compete for control of the upper chamber two weeks before midterms.

Republicans Face Headwinds

Republicans hold 53 Senate seats to Democrats' 47, but Trump's approval rating and economic views have created a challenging national environment for the GOP.

Senate Toss-Up Races

Senate Toss-Up Races

The Cook Political Report lists seven races, Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas, as toss-ups where Democrats may flip Republican-held seats.

Trump's Approval Rating

Trump's net approval rating is at -35 points, with 31 percent approving and 66 percent disapproving among 1,679 adults October 16-19.

Trump's Approval in Key States

Trump's approval rating is underwater in all seven Cook Political Report toss-up races, according to Civiqs.

Alaska Race

Alaska Race

GOP Senator Dan Sullivan faces Democrat Mary Peltola in a close race with Peltola leading 50 percent to 48 percent in a recent poll.

Iowa Race

Trump's approval rating in Iowa is -22 points, with 34 percent approving and 56 percent disapproving, as farmers face impacts from Trump's tariffs.

Kansas Race

Senator Roger Marshall leads Democrat Adam Hamilton 48 percent to 47 percent in the latest polls, despite Trump winning Kansas by 16 points in 2024.

Maine Race

President Donald Trump walks on the South Lawn of the White House on October 12, 2026, in Washington.

Senator Susan Collins faces Democrat Troy Jackson with Collins holding 50 percent approval and Jackson leading 49 percent to 47 percent in polls.

Michigan Race

Democrat Abdul El-Sayed leads Republican Mike Rogers 45.6 percent to 41.4 percent in polls, with Trump's approval at 33 percent.

Ohio Race

Senator Jon Husted faces Democrat Sherrod Brown in a tight race with both candidates tied at 50 percent in polls.

Texas Race

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton faces Democrat James Talarico with Talarico leading 51 percent to 49 percent in polls.

Experts on Trump's Impact

Political scientists say Trump's poor approval ratings have given Democrats the ability to compete in tougher states and could lead to Senate flips.

Prediction Markets

Democrats have a 63 percent chance of winning a Senate majority on Tuesday according to prediction markets.

What Happens Next

Trump's approval rating will remain closely watched as an important gauge of the electorate's mood in the final stretch of campaign season.

In short

Trump's approval rating is underwater in seven Senate battlegrounds, giving Democrats a chance to flip the chamber ahead of midterms.

Read the original on Newsweek

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