National crashes, Greens surge

National falls below 26% in RNZ-Reid poll as Greens jump to 14.8%.

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National crashes, Greens surge

National falls below 26% in RNZ-Reid poll as Greens jump to 14.8%.

In brief

National falls below 26% in RNZ-Reid poll as Greens jump to 14.8%. National Party drops to 25.9% in RNZ-Reid poll, Greens surge to 14.8% with Opportunity Party in kingmaker position. Originally reported by RNZ.

National plunges below 26%

Election 2026: Composite of all political party leaders.

National has plunged below 26 percent in a new RNZ-Reid Research poll.

Greens surge to 14.8%

Datawrapper chart

The Green Party has made the biggest gain, jumping 4.6 points to 14.8 percent.

Opportunity kingmaker

Datawrapper chart

Opportunity has edged up 0.2 points to 5.5 percent, clearing the 5 percent threshold.

National falls 3.2 points

Datawrapper chart

Christopher Luxon's National Party has fallen 3.2 percentage points since August, registering just 25.9 percent.

Labour loses ground

Labour has also lost ground, falling 1.4 points to 30.8 percent in its third consecutive decline.

Seat projections

National would return 32 MPs, New Zealand First 13 and ACT 11, leaving coalition five short of majority.

What happens next

Datawrapper chart

Opportunity's seven projected MPs could give either bloc the numbers to govern, though Luxon has ruled out working with them.

The bottom line

National Party drops to 25.9% in RNZ-Reid poll, Greens surge to 14.8% with Opportunity Party in kingmaker position.

Read the original on RNZ

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