From RNZ · RNZ | Te Reo Irirangi o Aotearoa · · 1m
National's path to power narrows
National edges ahead of Labour in new poll as Opportunity Party holds key vote share.
In brief
National edges ahead of Labour in new poll as Opportunity Party holds key vote share. National leads Labour by 1 percentage point in a poll where Opportunity Party's 7 percent support determines election outcome. Originally reported by RNZ.
New poll shows National leading Labour
National Party takes lead with 29 percent support, edging up one point from Labour's 28 percent.
Opportunity Party holds pivotal 7 percent
Opportunity Party registers 7 percent support, up one point, with eight MPs deciding election outcome.
Other parties shift in poll
New Zealand First rises to 10 percent, ACT drops to 9 percent, Greens hold 16 percent.
Coalition implications
National would win 35 MPs, New Zealand First 12, ACT 11 for a coalition bloc of 58 seats.
Labour's potential majority
Labour would secure 33 MPs, Greens 20, Te Pāti Māori one for a total of 54 seats.
Uncertainties in election math
Overhang seats could change results if National wins more than 35 electorates or Te Pāti Māori wins more than one.
The bottom line
National leads Labour by 1 percentage point in a poll where Opportunity Party's 7 percent support determines election outcome.
