Billionaire Tax Could Cost California $39 Billion

Stanford economists warn Prop 40 billionaire tax might cost California $39 billion long-term.

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Billionaire Tax Could Cost California $39 Billion

Stanford economists warn Prop 40 billionaire tax might cost California $39 billion long-term.

In brief

Stanford economists warn Prop 40 billionaire tax might cost California $39 billion long-term. Stanford economists say California could lose $39 billion from a proposed billionaire tax due to wealthy residents leaving. Originally reported by Sfchronicle.

Prop 40 on ballot

Californians vote on a proposed billionaire wealth tax as Proposition 40.

Stanford economists report

Stanford University’s Hoover Institution economists say the tax would collect only $36 billion, not the $100 billion projected.

Wealth tax revenue drop

The tax would lose $30 billion to $40 billion in income tax revenue from wealthy residents leaving California.

Prop 40 details

Prop 40 would levy a one-time 5% wealth tax on people with at least $1 billion net worth living in California on Jan. 1, 2.026.

Billionaires leaving

Some billionaires have already left California before the Jan. 1, 2026 deadline.

Billionaire PAC funding

A billionaire-backed PAC has spent over $300 million to defeat Prop 40.

Zuckerberg stays

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg speaks during the company's Connect developer conference in 2025. Zuckerberg has threatened to leave California over the proposed billi

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg agreed to stay in California after a stock deal.

Long-term loss estimate

Stanford economists estimate a net loss of $39 billion if Prop 40 passes.

The main idea

Stanford economists say California could lose $39 billion from a proposed billionaire tax due to wealthy residents leaving.

Read the original on Sfchronicle

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