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Early Voting Data Shows Democratic Edge in Midterms

Democrats lead early voting in midterms as Hispanic turnout surges.

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Oct 27, 2026

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Early Voting Data Shows Democratic Edge in Midterms

Democrats lead early voting in midterms as Hispanic turnout surges.

In brief

Democrats lead early voting in midterms as Hispanic turnout surges. Democrats hold early voting advantage over Republicans with 43% of ballots versus GOP's 24%, while Hispanic voters show record turnout. Originally reported by TIME.

Early voting data reveals

Nearly 60 million Americans have cast ballots since early voting began a month ago.

Party registration trends

Democrats account for 43% of early ballots versus Republicans' 24% with 26% unaffiliated.

Early voting participation

Over 7 million votes cast in Texas Senate race as Hispanic voters make up 24.7% of early ballots.

Hispanic voter enthusiasm

Sixty-six percent of Latino voters say Trump's deportation policies have gone too far.

Republican voter concerns

Fraga notes Republican enthusiasm has waned due to economic dissatisfaction and Trump administration failures.

Early voting data limitations

Experts caution early voting data cannot predict election outcomes but shows trends in voter behavior.

Hispanic turnout surge

Hispanic early voting participation outpaces 2022 and 2024 levels with record numbers.

Texas Senate race dynamics

James Talarico leads Ken Paxton by two points in early voting with 74% of expected votes cast.

Voter enthusiasm gaps

71% of Democrats versus 61% of Republicans express high enthusiasm for voting.

Hispanic voter approval

Only 24% of Hispanic Americans approve of Trump's performance in the White House.

Election day expectations

Republicans expected to gain ground on Election Day despite early voting Democratic lead.

Midterm election outlook

Early voting data suggests a potential blue wave but Republicans counter with voter enthusiasm concerns.

At a glance

Democrats hold early voting advantage over Republicans with 43% of ballots versus GOP's 24%, while Hispanic voters show record turnout.

Read the original on TIME

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