TIME

Voters of color powered Democrats' midterm sweep

A memo obtained by TIME shows Hispanic and Black voters shifted sharply left, delivering the largest House popular vote margin since 1974.

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Nov 4, 2026

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Voters of color powered Democrats' midterm sweep

A memo obtained by TIME shows Hispanic and Black voters shifted sharply left, delivering the largest House popular vote margin since 1974.

In brief

A memo obtained by TIME shows Hispanic and Black voters shifted sharply left, delivering the largest House popular vote margin since 1974. Voters of color drove Democrats' midterm victory, with Hispanic voters swinging 28 points left and Black voters nine points, reshaping the party's 2028 strategy. Originally…

The blue wave's true engine

Voters of color powered Tuesday's Democratic midterm victory, according to a memo obtained exclusively by TIME from veteran strategists Tom Bonier and Simon Rosenberg.

“Voters of color were the driving force behind the blue tsunami.”

Historic margins across demographics

Democrats are on track for the largest House popular vote margin in a midterm election since nineteen seventy-four. Every major demographic group shifted left, offering a rebuke of President Donald Trump.

The scale of the shift

Hispanic voters moved twenty-eight points left from twenty twenty-four's presidential levels. Black voters moved nine points. Asian American voters moved seventeen points, according to analysis by Bonier and Rosenberg.

South Carolina's new power

The DNC's decision to elevate South Carolina's primary to lead-off position for twenty twenty-eight now looks prescient.Twenty-six percent of South Carolina voters on Tuesday were voters of color, far more than Iowa and New Hampshire.

Webb County's fifty-point swing

In Texas' Webb County, the Hispanic vote swung fifty points away from Republicans between Trump's twenty twenty-four tally and Sen.-elect James Talarico's win, showing Trump voters crossed over to support Democrats.

“50-point swings don't happen on turnout alone.”

The big picture

Voters of color drove Democrats' midterm victory, with Hispanic voters swinging 28 points left and Black voters nine points, reshaping the party's 2028 strategy.

Read the original on TIME

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