Cobolli skips Paris with 99.8% Turin chance

Cobolli withdraws from Paris Masters with 99.8% chance of Turin qualification.

Nov 3, 2026

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Cobolli skips Paris with 99.8% Turin chance

Cobolli withdraws from Paris Masters with 99.8% chance of Turin qualification.

In brief

Cobolli withdraws from Paris Masters with 99.8% chance of Turin qualification. Flavio Cobolli skipped Paris Masters with 99.8% probability of qualifying for ATP Finals in Turin due to injury and low odds of avoiding points deduction. Originally reported by Tennis Majors.

Cobolli withdraws from Paris Masters

Flavio Cobolli, 2026

Flavio Cobolli pulled out of the Rolex Paris Masters with a left leg injury picked up in Vienna, 13 days before his home ATP Finals.

0.2% chance of missing Turin

Cobolli had exactly a 0.2 percent reason to play: that is the share of 600,000 Tennis Majors simulations where he misses out on Turin.

Muscle strain in Vienna

Cobolli retired in tears after a 41-minute second round loss to Matteo Berrettini, citing emotional distress rather than pain.

Only one path to Turin

Only one path to Turin

Cobolli stays on 3,680 points if Arthur Fils, Frances Tiafoe, Rafael Jodar, and Alex de Minaur all reach specific stages in Paris.

0.2% scenario for Turin

All four players must reach their required stages in Paris this week for Cobolli to miss Turin, a scenario occurring in 0.2 percent of 600,000 simulations.

Ruud settles Turin status

Casper Ruud beating Rafael Jodar in Tuesday's match guarantees Cobolli's Turin qualification without further play.

The one thing

Flavio Cobolli skipped Paris Masters with 99.8% probability of qualifying for ATP Finals in Turin due to injury and low odds of avoiding points deduction.

Read the original on Tennis Majors

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