Labour at historic low before Burnham

Labour polled just nineteen percent in the week ending June twenty-first, one day before Sir Keir Starmer resigned as prime minister. Reform UK led on twenty-seven percent.

Burnham takes office, polls shift

Andy Burnham won the Makerfield by-election and became prime minister on July twentieth. In the week before, Labour averaged twenty-one percent while Reform stood at twenty-four percent.

Labour overtakes Reform for first time

By the week ending August second, Labour reached twenty-six percent and overtook Reform on twenty-four percent. This was Labour's first lead over Reform since March twenty twenty-five based on weekly averages.

Labour climbs to highest rating in months

By the week ending October twenty-fifth, Labour averaged twenty-nine percent, its highest rating since the end of twenty twenty-four. Reform and Conservatives tied at twenty-two percent.

Ten-point swing in Burnham's hundred days

Labour's weekly poll average is now ten percentage points higher than the day before Sir Keir resigned. Reform has fallen from twenty-seven percent to twenty-two percent over the same period.

Pollsters see Labour consolidating left

Keiran Pedley of Ipsos said Labour under Burnham is resurgent, consolidating voters on the left behind them, while on the right the tectonic plates have been shifting.

“resurgent, consolidating voters on the left behind them”

Burnham leads on personal approval

Opinium found Burnham remains the only party leader with a positive net approval rating and holds a commanding lead over Kemi Badenoch and Nigel Farage on who would make the better prime minister.

Budget could shift volatile politics

Keiran Pedley warned the government faces a challenging Budget and British politics is volatile. The picture today differs from six months ago and could differ again in six months' time.

“The picture today is very different to six months ago and it could be different again in six months' time, too.”