From The New Yorker · Susan B. Glasser · · 3m
Republicans finally panicking about Trump
Forty days before midterms, Trump's unpopularity and failed Iran war trigger GOP defections and alarm.
In brief
Forty days before midterms, Trump's unpopularity and failed Iran war trigger GOP defections and alarm. Trump's core MAGA base is fracturing over economic hardship and the Iran conflict, making it harder for Republican candidates to defend him. Originally reported by The New Yorker.
Quick answers
- Has Trump's lame-duck era begun?
- With his base fracturing over economic pain and the failed Iran war, Trump faces an unprecedented political reckoning just 40 days before midterms that could reshape the Republican Party.
- What is the key takeaway from Republicans finally panicking about Trump?
- Trump's core MAGA base is fracturing over economic hardship and the Iran conflict, making it harder for Republican candidates to defend him.
Trump's UN speech nobody noticed

Trump mused about annihilating Iran, rebranding AI as superintelligence, and boasted about forcing Venezuela to hand over oil rights. Yet the speech was quickly forgotten amid his endless provocations.
Trump bans three major news outlets
Trump banned CNN, MSNBC, and Politico from the White House, a step no predecessor took. A federal judge immediately blocked it for lacking constitutional due process.
Red carpet diplomacy with China
Trump personally greeted Xi Jinping on a red carpet at Joint Base Andrews, breaking decades of tradition and signaling a shift in US-China relations.
Trump invites Putin to G-20

Trump invited Vladimir Putin to the G-20 summit at his own Florida golf club, defying the Western alliance and repeating a self-dealing move so controversial in his first term that even Republicans forced him to abandon it.
Trump's unpopularity hits historic low
Forty days before midterms, Trump is twice as unpopular as he was at this point in 2018, when Republicans lost 41 House seats. No modern president has entered a midterm this unpopular.
Democrats positioned for historic gains
Political analyst Doug Sosnik reports voters have hit a tipping point toward Democrats since early September, with gains now looking unimaginable at the year's start, driven by rejection of Trump's erratic behavior.
“Democrats now positioned for gains that looked unimaginable at the beginning of the year”
GOP pollster warns time is running out
Republican pollster Dave Winston warned that Republicans are running out of runway because Trump's economic message is falling on deaf ears, with alarm bells ringing across the party.
“Republicans are running out of runway”
Conservative media declares GOP abandonment
The National Review declared the Republican abandonment of Trump has begun, while Punchbowl News said this was the week Republicans hit the panic button.
“The Republican abandonment of Donald Trump begins”
Iowa and Michigan GOP break with Trump
Republican Senate nominees in Iowa and Michigan are pleading with Trump to end the Iran war immediately, with ads blaming the conflict for high energy costs and economic pain.
“The war with Iran needs to end and end quickly”
Florida Republican rebukes Trump on immigration
Representative Maria Elvira Salazar released an ad criticizing Trump's immigration enforcement, saying Hispanics who helped elect him feel betrayed. She won her district by 20 points in 2024.
“The same Hispanics who helped you get to the White House in 2024 feel betrayed today”
Iran war support collapses to 25 percent
A CNN survey found just 25 percent of Americans back Trump's handling of the Iran conflict, down from 33 percent when he launched the war last winter, claiming it would end in weeks.
Trump's MAGA base is fracturing
Trump's core support has dropped sharply to just 13 percent expressing strong approval. Sixty percent of white voters without college degrees, a critical base, disapprove of his handling of cost of living.
“I feel like I was sold a bill of goods”
Base defection, not Democrat opposition
The real surprise is Trump may be brought low not by Democrats but by the voters who sent him back to the White House. Iran may have done what January 6th and countless misdeeds could not.
Has Trump's lame-duck era begun?
With his base fracturing over economic pain and the failed Iran war, Trump faces an unprecedented political reckoning just 40 days before midterms that could reshape the Republican Party.
At a glance
Trump's core MAGA base is fracturing over economic hardship and the Iran conflict, making it harder for Republican candidates to defend him.



