From The Rio Times · Juan Martinez · · 2m
Peru Lima Mayor Race Tight at 60.6% Counted
Lima mayor race remains tight with 0.86-point gap between López Aliaga and Allison after 92.699% of votes counted.
In brief
Lima mayor race remains tight with 0.86-point gap between López Aliaga and Allison after 92.699% of votes counted. Peru's Lima mayor race is unresolved with López Aliaga leading by 0.86 points after 92.699% of votes counted, but legal questions about his eligibility remain. Originally reported by The Rio Times.
Lima Election Results
By midday Monday 5 October, ONPE had counted 92.699% of Lima’s 26,351 tally sheets.
Lima Mayor Race
Renovación Popular led with 27.703% of valid votes, Francis Allison of Avanza País had 26.841% (0.86-point gap).
Special Election Juries
About 1,924 sheets (7.301%) went to special election juries, which could still matter.
Prediction Markets
Polymarket gave López Aliaga a 95.5% chance of winning the Lima mayoralty and Allison 2.4% (US$486,000 traded).
Quick Count
Datum’s sample-based quick count showed López Aliaga at 27.6% and Allison at 26.7% (1-point margin of error).
Regional Runoffs
Datum’s exit poll points to 14 regions needing governor runoffs on 29 November.
Election Details
13,148 posts including 25 regional governors for terms from 2027 to 2030.
Copper Production
Peru produced about 2.8 million tonnes of copper in 2025, a record.
Legal Question
López Aliaga’s eligibility as mayor remains unclear due to constitutional re-election rules.
Election Timeline
ONPE publishes official results from 6 p.m. ET; regional runoffs set for 29 November.
Market Intelligence
Bitcoin eased 0.26% with 6 of 17 names advancing in the crypto market.
Who is Who
Rafael López Aliaga: former mayor of Lima, Renovación Popular; Francis Allison: Avanza País.
Regional Dynamics
Arequipa, where Freeport-McMoRan runs the Cerro Verde mine, may go to runoff.
What Happens Next
JNE may decide López Aliaga’s eligibility by early November; regional runoffs on 29 November.
Why It Matters for US
Peru’s copper regions affect US investors through mining and informal labor disputes.
What Is Not Known
Final Lima result, jury votes, López Aliaga’s eligibility, and regional runoff outcomes remain unknown.
The takeaway
Peru's Lima mayor race is unresolved with López Aliaga leading by 0.86 points after 92.699% of votes counted, but legal questions about his eligibility remain.
