From The Rio Times · Contributing Reporter · · 1m 30s
Spain Poll Shows Sánchez Leads by 7.8 Points
Spain's state pollster gives Prime Minister Sánchez a 7.8-point lead over PP in pre-election survey.
In brief
Spain's state pollster gives Prime Minister Sánchez a 7.8-point lead over PP in pre-election survey. Spain's state pollster CIS shows Socialist Party with 33.3% support versus PP's 25.5% ahead of Nov 29 election. Originally reported by The Rio Times.
Spain Poll Results
Spain's state pollster CIS shows Socialist Party with 33.3% support versus People's Party's 25.5% in pre-election survey.
Lead Magnitude
Socialist Party leads People's Party by 7.8 points in CIS poll with 33.3% versus 25.5%.
Seats Projected
Socialists projected 134 to 143 seats versus PP's 98 to 106 seats in 350-seat Congress of Deputies.
Vox Position
Vox, led by Santiago Abascal, holds 18.4% support and 57 to 65 seats in CIS poll.
Poll Timing
CIS survey released November 12, 2026, hours before Nov 29 election campaign opens.
Private Polls Contrast
Private pollsters generally project PP and Vox together above 176 seats versus CIS's Socialist lead.
Prediction Markets
Polymarket shows PP plus Vox majority at 90.5% with US$58,495 traded.
Election Context
Spain requires 176 seats out of 350 to govern without partners in Nov 29 general election.
CIS Poll Methodology
CIS conducted 45,000 telephone interviews between October 7 and October 30, 2026.
Survey Timing
Survey conducted after October 28 rail accident in Urda, Toledo province.
Election Impact
Split results could trigger weeks of coalition bargaining in major euro-zone economy.
What's Unknown
PP, Vox, and government have not yet responded to CIS poll results.
In short
Spain's state pollster CIS shows Socialist Party with 33.3% support versus PP's 25.5% ahead of Nov 29 election.
