From The Rio Times · Contributing Reporter · · 1m 30s
Spain Polls Split, Bettors Back Opposition
Spain's election polls clash as betting markets favor conservative leader Feijóo.
In brief
Spain's election polls clash as betting markets favor conservative leader Feijóo. Spain's election polls show Socialists leading one poll and PP ahead in another, while prediction markets give conservative leader Feijóo 88% chance to become prime minister. Originally reported by The Rio Times.
Spain Polls Split
SW Demoscopia poll shows Socialists at 31.0% and PP at 28.5% while Celeste-Tel shows PP at 31.8% and PSOE at 25.7%.
Bettors Back Feijóo
Polymarket predicts Alberto Núñez Feijóo has 88% chance to become Spain's next prime minister.
Election Timeline
Spain votes on Sunday 29 November 2026 for all 350 seats in Congress, with a majority of 176 seats needed.
Prediction Markets
Polymarket shows Pedro Sánchez at 11% and Santiago Abascal at 1% with $2.9 million traded.
Next Debate
Sánchez and Feijóo agree to debate on Mediaset Monday 16 November with no start time confirmed.
Poll Discrepancies
SW Demoscopia projects PSOE 127 seats, PP 116 seats, while Celeste-Tel shows PP 128 seats and PSOE 112 seats.
Vox and PP Coalition
PP and Vox may reach 176 seats but polls show they are short of majority.
Campaign Themes
Sánchez focuses on housing with 5,000+ crowd while Feijóo calls for change.
Madrid Political Stance
Madrid Mayor warns campaign will be 'dirty' while Feijóo urges in-person or post voting.
Market Impact
Close election result could delay prime minister selection until December 23.
What's Next
PP and Vox may need coalition to reach 176 seats for majority in Congress.
The big picture
Spain's election polls show Socialists leading one poll and PP ahead in another, while prediction markets give conservative leader Feijóo 88% chance to become prime minister.
