From The Rugby Paper · The Rugby Paper Team · · 1m 50s
Rugby World Cup Betting Shifts with New Format
2027 Rugby World Cup's round of 16 changes betting odds and third-place value.
In brief
2027 Rugby World Cup's round of 16 changes betting odds and third-place value. The 2027 Rugby World Cup's new round of 16 format gives third-place teams betting value and alters knockout brackets. Originally reported by The Rugby Paper.
New Rugby World Cup Format

The 2027 Men’s Rugby World Cup features 24 teams and 52 matches with a round of 16 for the first time.
Pool Structure Changes

Six pools of four teams replace the old four pools of five, with top two teams advancing to the round of 16.
Third Place Now Matters
Third-place teams now qualify for knockout rounds, changing betting markets and adding value to pool positions.
Pool Rankings Determine Third Place
Third-place teams are ranked across all pools using pool points, points difference, tries scored, and world rankings.
Key Pools for Third Place
Pools B, C, and E have teams chasing third place behind strong favorites like South Africa and Argentina.
Bracket Complexity
The bracket determines who faces whom in the round of 16, with second-place teams affecting knockout paths.
Betting Market Shifts
South Africa and France lead betting odds, with France’s price shortening between bookmakers after the draw.
Football Precedent
Euro 2016 used a similar format, with Portugal finishing third and advancing to the round of 16.
Rugby Betting Evolution
Rugby betting now rewards third-place teams, similar to racing’s each-way markets for near misses.
Risks of Betting
Betting on the 2027 World Cup carries risks due to injuries, coaching changes, and a long timeline.
The Verdict
Third place now carries betting value, and the bracket is key to understanding 2027 Rugby World Cup outcomes.
What Happens Next
Betting markets will adjust as the 2027 Rugby World Cup approaches, with third-place teams gaining significance.
What matters most
The 2027 Rugby World Cup's new round of 16 format gives third-place teams betting value and alters knockout brackets.
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