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Citrini: AI Capex Growth May Have Peaked

AI infrastructure spending growth could have reached a peak as hyperscalers near $1 trillion in annual investment.

Nov 6, 2026

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Citrini: AI Capex Growth May Have Peaked

AI infrastructure spending growth could have reached a peak as hyperscalers near $1 trillion in annual investment.

In brief

AI infrastructure spending growth could have reached a peak as hyperscalers near $1 trillion in annual investment. Citrini Research says AI infrastructure capex growth may have peaked with hyperscaler spending nearing $1 trillion annually. Originally reported by TokenPost.

Citrini Research claims

A data center model sits on a stepped concrete base that levels out / TokenPost.ai

Citrini Research estimates annualized hyperscaler AI spending is nearing $1 trillion as broader AI ecosystem revenue reaches at least $200 billion.

Slower investment growth

Citrini points to slower quarterly growth in remaining performance obligations as leading AI labs slow their commitments.

Hyperscaler spending plans

Amazon expects $220 billion in cash capital expenditures for 2026 with higher cash capex in 2027, while Microsoft's commercial RPO stood at $677 billion as of Sept. 30.

The headline

Citrini Research says AI infrastructure capex growth may have peaked with hyperscaler spending nearing $1 trillion annually.

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