JPMorgan Projects Bitcoin 10% Annual Return

JPMorgan forecasts Bitcoin's 10-year base-case return at 10% annualized.

Oct 20, 2026

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JPMorgan Projects Bitcoin 10% Annual Return

JPMorgan forecasts Bitcoin's 10-year base-case return at 10% annualized.

In brief

JPMorgan forecasts Bitcoin's 10-year base-case return at 10% annualized. JPMorgan projects Bitcoin will return 10% annually over the next decade in its base case, outperforming U.S. stocks, bonds, and gold. Originally reported by TokenPost.

JPMorgan's Bitcoin Projection

A copper coin balances opposite a small gold bar / TokenPost.ai

JPMorgan's 2027 Long-Term Capital Market Assumptions assign Bitcoin a 10% annualized return over the next decade, placing it above U.S. stocks, bonds, and gold.

Bitcoin Return Range

JPMorgan projects a 17% bull case and negative 9.7% bear case for Bitcoin, with annualized returns of 7.5% for U.S.large-cap stocks, 7.7% for small-cap stocks, 5.6% to 6.6% for U.S.bonds, and 5.5% for gold.

Bitcoin's Risk Profile

JPMorgan flags high volatility and unstable correlations with other assets, characterizing Bitcoin as speculative and a potential hedge against monetary easing.

The takeaway

JPMorgan projects Bitcoin will return 10% annually over the next decade in its base case, outperforming U.S. stocks, bonds, and gold.

Read the original on TokenPost

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