Gold Broke Its Own Rule

Real yields climb to 2.9% as gold drops 26% since 2022 peak.

Oct 21, 2026

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Gold Broke Its Own Rule

Real yields climb to 2.9% as gold drops 26% since 2022 peak.

In brief

Real yields climb to 2.9% as gold drops 26% since 2022 peak. Gold fell 26% from its 2022 peak as real yields rose to 2.9% after breaking its own inverse relationship with gold. Originally reported by TradingView.

Gold and real yields

For most of the last two decades, gold and real yields moved in opposite directions with a weekly correlation of −0.92.

2022 break

Gold nearly tripled from 1,800 to 5,279 in February 2026 as real yields rose from −0.7% to +1.7%.

Current trend

Current trend

Real yields climbed to 2.9% since January 2026, and gold dropped 26% since its peak.

The essence

Gold fell 26% from its 2022 peak as real yields rose to 2.9% after breaking its own inverse relationship with gold.

Read the original on TradingView

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