From Vox · Caitlin Dewey · · 2m
Both parties transformed since 2024
Republicans are souring on Trump while Democrats embrace fighting. The 2026 midterms will test these seismic shifts.
In brief
Republicans are souring on Trump while Democrats embrace fighting. The 2026 midterms will test these seismic shifts. Republicans' disillusionment with Trump and Democrats' new combative stance will reshape the 2026 midterm elections and Trump's remaining presidency. Originally reported by Vox.
Midterms arrive in six weeks

Americans will vote in less than six weeks to decide which party controls Congress and state and local offices. The stakes are unusually high as voters choose whether to check a president who has bulldozed over historical norms.
Republicans souring on Trump
Trump's approval rating has dipped to record lows among Republicans. According to an NBC poll conducted in mid-September, just four in ten Republicans strongly approve of Trump's performance, down eleven percentage points from the spring.
Why Republicans turned on Trump
Republicans have soured on Trump over his handling of the economy and attacks on Iran, which violated his promise to keep America out of foreign wars. Trump's delayed release of the Epstein files also fueled distrust by exposing his ties to elite insiders.
GOP candidates distance from Trump

Some Republican candidates have worked to distance themselves from Trump, even defying him in campaign ads. It remains unclear whether that tactic will win over disillusioned or disengaged Republicans, or if enough will stay home.
Democrats embrace fighting
After their 2024 presidential defeat, Democrats are undergoing a major transformation. Today's Democrats want a party that fights, though the open question is who they are fighting: the oligarchy, Big Tech, the billionaire class, or Trump's Republican Party.
“fights”
Left-wing Democrats gain ground
Since 2024, voters have lost trust in the establishment and party leaders' ability to pick candidates. Left-wing candidates have thrived in that vacuum. A Muslim democratic socialist in New York now ranks among America's most popular Democrats.
Midterms test both parties
November third is a test of each party's vision for America, not just between Republicans and Democrats but within them as well. The results will help determine the rest of Trump's presidency and the twenty twenty-eight presidential election.
Key races to watch
Michigan's Senate race features progressive Democrat Abdul El-Sayed against Republican Mike Rogers. Florida's twenty-seventh District has Republican María Elvira Salazar, who publicly broke with Trump. Nebraska, Idaho, and South Dakota Senate races test exhaustion with the two-party system.
The headline
Republicans' disillusionment with Trump and Democrats' new combative stance will reshape the 2026 midterm elections and Trump's remaining presidency.


