# Arabica Coffee Hits One-Month High

> Brazilian coffee prices surge to one-month high as real strengthens.
- Title: Arabica Coffee Hits One-Month High · The Rio Times | Shortify
- Summary: Brazilian coffee prices surge to one-month high as real strengthens. Arabica coffee futures for December delivery reached US$3.157 per pound, a one-month…
- Keywords: arabica coffee, brazil, real, ice futures, coffee stocks, brazilian coffee, december contract, minas gerais, news, world, politics, Arabica
- Source: The Rio Times — https://riotimesonline.com/arabica-coffee-one-month-high-brazil-real-oct-19-2026
- Author: Juan Martinez
- Published: 2026-10-19T22:40:25+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: arabica coffee, brazil, real, ice futures, coffee stocks, brazilian coffee, december contract, minas gerais, news, world, politics
## Coffee Prices Surge
Arabica coffee futures for December delivery settled at US$3.157 per pound in New York on Monday, 19 October, up 3.3% and the highest level in a month.
## Weekly Gain
The contract rose 10.10 cents to 315.70 cents from near 285 cents on the morning of 12 October, a gain of about 11% in a week.
## Real Strengthens
The Brazilian real firmed about 0.5% to roughly R$5.04 per US$1, cutting what Brazilian growers earn in local currency per dollar sold.
## Stocks Near 27-Year Low
ICE-certified arabica stocks are near a 27-year low, with traders worried Brazilian beans may not reach warehouses before the December contract expires.
## Prediction Markets
Polymarket predicts 39% coverage of peak severe drought in Minas Gerais, the top coffee state, through 30 April 2027.
## US Buyers
The United States was the largest buyer of Brazilian coffee in the first nine months of 2026, with about 3.8 million 60-kilogram bags.
## What's Unknown
It is unclear whether the rally will last once the December contract expires and short covering fades.
## Why Real Matters
A stronger real means Brazilian growers earn less in local currency for each dollar of coffee sold, so they tend to hold back beans.
## Stocks and Drought
El Niño, a weather pattern that can upset harvests, is listed as a risk for future coffee harvests.
## Key takeaway

Arabica coffee futures for December delivery reached US$3.157 per pound, a one-month high, as Brazilian stocks near 27-year low and real strengthens.