# Bolsonaro edges Lula in Brazil run-off polls

> Three new surveys show the right-wing senator ahead of the leftist president days before their October 25 election.
- Title: Bolsonaro edges Lula in Brazil run-off polls · Al Jazeera
- Summary: Three new surveys show the right-wing senator ahead of the leftist president days before their October 25 election. Flavio Bolsonaro leads Luiz Inacio Lula…
- Keywords: brazil, flavio bolsonaro, luiz inacio lula da silva, election, run-off, polling, news, world, politics, Bolsonaro, edges, Lula
- Source: Al Jazeera — https://aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/16/latest-poll-shows-bolsonaro-maintaining-edge-over-lula-in-brazil-run-off?traffic_source=rss
- Author: Al Jazeera Staff
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: brazil, flavio bolsonaro, luiz inacio lula da silva, election, run-off, polling, news, world, politics
## Bolsonaro leads in latest polls
A CNT/MDA survey released Friday shows right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro at forty-six point eight percent against leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's forty-five point nine percent.
## Three polls show similar pattern
A Quaest poll found Bolsonaro at forty-six percent to Lula's forty-four percent. A Datafolha poll showed Bolsonaro at forty-seven percent to Lula's forty-five percent, down from forty-nine percent a week earlier.
## Race remains too close to call
All three polls fall within a two percent margin of error, meaning experts consider the race a toss-up. The results mark a shift from a month ago when Lula was projected to easily win.
## Bolsonaro won first round decisively
On October fourth, Bolsonaro took fifty-six million one hundred four thousand five hundred three votes compared with Lula's fifty-three million eight hundred seventy-nine thousand five hundred thirty-eight votes.
## Lula pushes social reforms before vote
Congress approved an amendment giving workers two paid days off a week instead of one, a major victory for Lula's social reform agenda days before the October twenty-fifth run-off election.
## Key takeaway

Flavio Bolsonaro leads Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in multiple polls ahead of Brazil's October 25 run-off, reversing expectations that favoured the incumbent president a month ago.