# BYU FPI Predicts Bounce Back Against ASU

> ESPN FPI gives BYU 90.2% chance to beat ASU in Big 12 title race.
- Title: BYU FPI Predicts Bounce Back Against ASU · BYU Cougars On SI
- Summary: ESPN FPI gives BYU 90.2% chance to beat ASU in Big 12 title race. BYU has a 90.2% chance to beat ASU per ESPN FPI, with playoff hopes tied to Utah game.
- Keywords: espn fpi, byu, asu sun devils, big 12, college football, playoff odds, byu cougars, utah, sports, FPI, Predicts, Bounce
- Source: BYU Cougars On SI — https://si.com/college/byu/football/espn-fpi-predicts-byu-bounce-back-against-asu-and-updates-big-12-title-odds
- Published: 2026-10-26T14:29:45+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: espn fpi, byu, asu sun devils, big 12, college football, playoff odds, byu cougars, utah, sports
## BYU returns to ASU
BYU will play ASU at home after losing to UCF, the first time since losing to ASU in the 2023 Big 12 championship.
## ESPN FPI odds
FPI gives BYU a 90.2% chance to beat ASU, the easiest remaining game with at least 75% chance to win all games except Utah.
## Playoff chances drop
BYU's chance to finish with 11 wins dropped from 55% to 19% after losing to UCF, with playoff odds falling from 70.6% to 49.0%.
## Big 12 title race
No team has better than a 35% chance to win the Big 12, with BYU and Texas Tech losses making the race wide open.
## Playoff impact
BYU needs 11 wins to guarantee playoff entry, with 10-2 teams likely needing tiebreakers to reach championship game.
## Big 12 contenders
Six Big 12 teams have over 1% playoff odds, with Utah leading after beating Houston and BYU close behind.
## Arizona's role
Arizona has not lost since week two, with Noah Fifita's team potentially turning the Big 12 race if they beat Texas Tech.
## Rivalry games
Utah plays Arizona after emotional rivalry game against BYU, controlling their own Big 12 title race destiny.
## Next steps
BYU's playoff hopes ride on Utah game, with 11-1 finish guaranteeing playoff entry regardless of Big 12 championship outcome.
## Key takeaway

BYU has a 90.2% chance to beat ASU per ESPN FPI, with playoff hopes tied to Utah game.