# Cobolli skips Paris with 99.8% Turin chance

> Cobolli withdraws from Paris Masters with 99.8% chance of Turin qualification.
- Title: Cobolli skips Paris with 99.8% Turin chance · Tennis Majors
- Summary: Cobolli withdraws from Paris Masters with 99.8% chance of Turin qualification. Flavio Cobolli skipped Paris Masters with 99.8% probability of qualifying for…
- Keywords: flavio cobolli, atp finals, turin, paris masters, casper ruud, jannik sinner, frances tiafoe, rafael jodar, alex de minaure, novak djokovic, sports, Cobolli
- Source: Tennis Majors — https://tennismajors.com/atp/rolex-paris-masters-1000-atp/why-cobolli-could-afford-to-skip-paris-with-a-99-8-percent-chance-of-turin-865268.html
- Published: 2026-11-03T13:28:10+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: flavio cobolli, atp finals, turin, paris masters, casper ruud, jannik sinner, frances tiafoe, rafael jodar, alex de minaure, novak djokovic, sports
## Cobolli withdraws from Paris Masters
Flavio Cobolli pulled out of the Rolex Paris Masters with a left leg injury picked up in Vienna, 13 days before his home ATP Finals.
## 0.2% chance of missing Turin
Cobolli had exactly a 0.2 percent reason to play: that is the share of 600,000 Tennis Majors simulations where he misses out on Turin.
## Muscle strain in Vienna
Cobolli retired in tears after a 41-minute second round loss to Matteo Berrettini, citing emotional distress rather than pain.
## Only one path to Turin
Cobolli stays on 3,680 points if Arthur Fils, Frances Tiafoe, Rafael Jodar, and Alex de Minaur all reach specific stages in Paris.
## 0.2% scenario for Turin
All four players must reach their required stages in Paris this week for Cobolli to miss Turin, a scenario occurring in 0.2 percent of 600,000 simulations.
## Ruud settles Turin status
Casper Ruud beating Rafael Jodar in Tuesday's match guarantees Cobolli's Turin qualification without further play.
## Key takeaway

Flavio Cobolli skipped Paris Masters with 99.8% probability of qualifying for ATP Finals in Turin due to injury and low odds of avoiding points deduction.