# Democrats hit 74% odds to win Senate on prediction markets

> Traders on Kalshi see Democrats' best chance yet at Senate control after a New York Times poll shows them leading in battleground states.
- Title: Democrats hit 74% odds to win Senate on prediction markets
- Summary: Traders on Kalshi see Democrats' best chance yet at Senate control after a New York Times poll shows them leading in battleground states. Prediction market…
- Keywords: prediction markets, kalshi, senate election 2026, democrats, republicans, battleground states, business, finance, hit, odds, win, Senate
- Source: CNBC — https://cnbc.com/2026/11/02/prediction-market-traders-now-see-nearly-75percent-chance-of-democrats-winning-the-senate.html
- Author: Ananya Chetia
- Published: 2026-11-02T19:15:26+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: prediction markets, kalshi, senate election 2026, democrats, republicans, battleground states, business, finance
## Democrats hit highest odds yet
Traders on Kalshi now see a 74% chance of Democrats winning Senate control, the highest odds for the party since the market opened in 2024.
## Poll shows Democrats leading battlegrounds
A New York Times and Siena University poll found Democrats leading in several battleground states, strengthening their path to a possible Senate majority.
## Movement across multiple Senate races
Traders see 74% odds for Democrats in Texas, up from 68.4% in 24 hours. Iowa jumped to 50% from 42%. Kansas odds for Democrat Adam Hamilton over Republican Roger Marshall rose to 63% from 52%.
## Key takeaway

Prediction market traders on Kalshi now give Democrats a 74% chance of winning Senate control, their highest odds since the market opened in 2024.