# Dow Jones faces a key moving-average test

> A bearish Dow setup points to two downside checkpoints if the correction stretches into year-end.
- Title: Dow Jones faces a key moving-average test · TradingView
- Summary: A bearish Dow setup points to two downside checkpoints if the correction stretches into year-end. Watch the 1W MA50 near 50,500 first, then the 1W MA100 near…
- Keywords: dow jones, technical analysis, stocks, chart patterns, business, finance, Dow, Jones, faces, key, moving-average, test
- Source: TradingView — https://tradingview.com/chart/DJI/irOvEy5L-DOW-JONES-4-year-pattern-targeting-1W-MA50-MA100
- Published: 2026-09-15T19:24:26+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: dow jones, technical analysis, stocks, chart patterns, business, finance
## Daily trend flips bearish
The Dow's daily setup has weakened, with RSI near 42, a negative MACD reading, and ADX around 23. The chart now leans bearish in the short term.

> Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook
## A rounding top forms
Price has shaped a rounding top near the upper edge of a four-year rising channel. That pattern suggests buyers are losing control at the highs.

> a clear rounding top formation
## Past tops guide targets
The February top led to a drop below the 1W MA50. An earlier 2025 pullback reached the 1W MA100, marking a higher-low base inside the channel.

> The last Top in February started a bearish wave
## First stop is 50,500
If the pullback runs into year-end, the first target is a test of the 1W MA50 around 50,500.

> expect first a 1W MA50 test
## Deeper risk is 48,000
If selling pressure grows, the next target is the 1W MA100 near 48,000. The post also flags midterm-election pressure as a possible driver.

> then a 1W MA100
## RSI can flip the view
The bearish case changes if the weekly RSI reaches the S1 Zone first. That would be the signal to turn bullish despite the correction.

> If the 1W RSI hits the S1 Zone before, turn bullish
## Key takeaway

Watch the 1W MA50 near 50,500 first, then the 1W MA100 near 48,000 if bearish pressure keeps building.