# Early Voting Data Shows Democratic Edge in Midterms

> Democrats lead early voting in midterms as Hispanic turnout surges.
- Title: Early Voting Data Shows Democratic Edge in Midterms · TIME
- Summary: Democrats lead early voting in midterms as Hispanic turnout surges. Democrats hold early voting advantage over Republicans with 43% of ballots versus GOP's…
- Keywords: early voting, democrats, republicans, hispanic voters, midterm elections, university of florida election lab, political science, voter turnout, TIME
- Source: TIME — https://time.com/article/2026/10/27/midterm-elections-early-voting-data-democrats-republicans-hispanic-voters
- Author: Connor Greene
- Published: 2026-10-27T22:15:02+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: early voting, democrats, republicans, hispanic voters, midterm elections, university of florida election lab, political science, voter turnout, news, world
## Early voting data reveals
Nearly 60 million Americans have cast ballots since early voting began a month ago.
## Party registration trends
Democrats account for 43% of early ballots versus Republicans' 24% with 26% unaffiliated.
## Early voting participation
Over 7 million votes cast in Texas Senate race as Hispanic voters make up 24.7% of early ballots.
## Hispanic voter enthusiasm
Sixty-six percent of Latino voters say Trump's deportation policies have gone too far.
## Republican voter concerns
Fraga notes Republican enthusiasm has waned due to economic dissatisfaction and Trump administration failures.
## Early voting data limitations
Experts caution early voting data cannot predict election outcomes but shows trends in voter behavior.
## Hispanic turnout surge
Hispanic early voting participation outpaces 2022 and 2024 levels with record numbers.
## Texas Senate race dynamics
James Talarico leads Ken Paxton by two points in early voting with 74% of expected votes cast.
## Voter enthusiasm gaps
71% of Democrats versus 61% of Republicans express high enthusiasm for voting.
## Hispanic voter approval
Only 24% of Hispanic Americans approve of Trump's performance in the White House.
## Election day expectations
Republicans expected to gain ground on Election Day despite early voting Democratic lead.
## Midterm election outlook
Early voting data suggests a potential blue wave but Republicans counter with voter enthusiasm concerns.
## Key takeaway

Democrats hold early voting advantage over Republicans with 43% of ballots versus GOP's 24%, while Hispanic voters show record turnout.