# El Nino Could Boost US Inflation by 1% in 2027

> San Francisco Fed warns El Nino may push US inflation up to 1 percentage point by 2027.
- Title: El Nino Could Boost US Inflation by 1% in 2027 | Shortify
- Summary: San Francisco Fed warns El Nino may push US inflation up to 1 percentage point by 2027. San Francisco Fed research suggests El Nino weather pattern could…
- Keywords: el nino, us inflation, san francisco fed, 2027, inflation forecast, weather impact, supply chain, money, business, Nino, Boost, Inflation
- Source: The Economic Times — https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/us-stocks/wall-street-guide/el-nino-could-add-to-us-inflation-pressures-in-2027-san-francisco-fed-paper-warns/articleshow/135473482.cms
- Published: 2026-11-02T20:01:00+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: el nino, us inflation, san francisco fed, 2027, inflation forecast, weather impact, supply chain, money, business
## El Nino Inflation Risk
San Francisco Fed warns El Nino could push US inflation higher by up to 1 percentage point in 2027.
## Current El Nino Impact
The weather pattern may have already lifted US headline prices by 0.3 percentage point between April and July 2026.
## 2027 Inflation Forecast
El Nino could push prices higher by as much as 1 percentage point in 2027 after initial effects fade by year end.
## Fed's Inflation Concerns
The Fed faces inflation above 2% target for over five and a half years with El Nino adding new pressure.
## Research Authors
San Francisco Fed researchers Molly Arden, Toby Graf and Brigitte Roth Tran authored the inflation warning.
## Supply Chain Risks
El Nino could disrupt global supply chains and interact with fertilizer market issues in unexpected ways.
## Fed's Next Steps
The Fed may raise interest rates in December 2026 and 2027 to contain inflation after El Nino impacts.
## Key takeaway

San Francisco Fed research suggests El Nino weather pattern could raise US inflation by up to 1 percentage point in 2027.