# Election 2026: Experts pick who won Stuff leaders' debate

> National and Labour leaders clash over nursing numbers and cost of living in final election debate.
- Title: Election 2026: Experts pick who won Stuff leaders' debate
- Summary: National and Labour leaders clash over nursing numbers and cost of living in final election debate. Chris Hipkins outperformed Christopher Luxon in debate on…
- Keywords: national, labour, chris hipkins, christopher luxon, election 2026, leaders debate, nursing numbers, cost of living, health system, kiwisaver, politics, news
- Source: NZ Herald — https://nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/election-2026-our-experts-pick-who-won-the-stuff-leaders-debate/premium/KJUF36JGBJATFFJ4OG3IQMOXAA
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: national, labour, chris hipkins, christopher luxon, election 2026, leaders debate, nursing numbers, cost of living, health system, kiwisaver, politics, news
## Debate outcome
National leader Christopher Luxon and Labour leader Chris Hipkins spoke to media following their final leaders debate before this year's election.

> National leader Christopher Luxon and Labour leader Chris Hipkins spoke to the media following their final leaders debate before this year's election
## Expert verdicts
Audrey Young called it a draw, Adam Pearse named Hipkins winner, Shayne Currie said Hipkins won the verbal brawl, Jamie Ensor picked Hipkins.

> Our experts rate their performances, and crown a winner
## Nursing numbers dispute
Luxon claimed 2100 extra nurses hired under National government but Health New Zealand shows net figure is 54 full-time equivalents.

> Luxon said that 2100 "extra" nurses had been recruited under this Government, but that is not a net figure
## Factual accuracy
Hipkins was factually correct on nursing numbers but Luxon misrepresented the figure, leading to a tense exchange.

> Hipkins said that Luxon’s 2100 figure was "simply not true"
## Cost of living debate
Hipkins highlighted rising unemployment, business liquidations, and KiwiSaver withdrawals as evidence of economic hardship.

> Hipkins: "48,000 more New Zealanders are unemployed. The cost of living is continuing to go up."
## Debate style
Hipkins appeared more prepared and calm while Luxon struggled with nuanced health and homelessness issues.

> Luxon had fewer wins on particular issues but he prosecuted in a calmer way
## Social media policy
Hipkins criticized Luxon’s social media ban proposal for under-16s as insufficiently developed.

> Hipkins also sought to undermine Luxon’s advocacy for a social media ban for under-16s
## Health system crisis
Hipkins accused Luxon of being in denial about health worker shortages and crisis conditions.

> You are in denial about the extent of the crisis in our health system
## Debate format
The debate split between lectern and desk formats with Paddy Gower moderating.

> The debate format, splitting between standing at a lectern with Gower and sitting at a desk with co-host Luke Malpass
## Key exchange
Hipkins challenged Luxon’s economic claims with specific data points on unemployment and KiwiSaver withdrawals.

> Hipkins: "Your plan is not working. 48,000 more New Zealanders are unemployed."
## Leadership confidence
Luxon referenced 2023 election results to argue Hipkins was unpopular with voters.

> The public said bye-bye Chris Hipkins in 2023 and you’re still here
## Unanswered questions
Luxon avoided committing to whether he would resign rather than speak to Opportunity after election.

> He criticised the question as a "hypothetical"
## Debate conclusion
Experts agreed Hipkins performed better on economic issues while Luxon had stronger moments on social policy.

> Hipkins dominated in delivering clear lines that will have cut-through with someone from outside the political class
## Next steps
Hipkins urged more leaders' debates to test voters directly against National leader.

> Hipkins has appeared more able across the three leaders’ debates
## Voter sentiment
44% of voters now back parties other than Labour or National according to polls.

> Polls suggest around 44% of voters now back parties other than Labour or National
## Key takeaway

Chris Hipkins outperformed Christopher Luxon in debate on health and cost of living despite factual errors by National leader.