# Giants Super Bowl odds jump to 3% after Week 1 win

> New York's dominant performance against Dallas has prediction markets reconsidering their championship chances.
- Title: Giants Super Bowl odds jump to 3% after Week 1 win · SI
- Summary: New York's dominant performance against Dallas has prediction markets reconsidering their championship chances. The Giants' Week 1 victory over the Cowboys…
- Keywords: new york giants, super bowl odds, kalshi, week 1, dallas cowboys, nfl, prediction markets, john harbaugh, jaxson dart, isaiah likely, sports, Giants
- Source: SI — https://si.com/prediction-markets/giants-super-bowl-market-moves-up-on-kalshi-after-week-1-01m2jsejyejn
- Published: 2026-09-16T01:22:38+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: new york giants, super bowl odds, kalshi, week 1, dallas cowboys, nfl, prediction markets, john harbaugh, jaxson dart, isaiah likely, sports
## Giants odds triple after Week 1
The Giants jumped from 1% Super Bowl odds in early September to 3% after beating the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. A $10 bet at those odds now profits $302.
## Harbaugh's offense produces immediately
John Harbaugh's new Giants offense generated 394 yards in Week 1. Jaxson Dart threw three touchdowns while Cam Skattebo added a rushing score.
## Isaiah Likely emerges as steal
Tight end Isaiah Likely, who followed Harbaugh from Baltimore, caught 8 of 9 targets for 78 yards and two touchdowns. He commanded 26.7% of the team's targets and ran 91.6% of his routes as a receiver.

> Tight end Isaiah Likely looks like a free-agency steal.
## Nabers returns from ACL injury
Wide receiver Malik Nabers made his return after tearing his ACL in Week 4 last season. He led the team with nine targets, catching six for 69 yards.
## Defense transforms in one week
Last year the Giants ranked bottom-five in yards allowed and second-worst against the run. In Week 1, they held Dallas to just 69 rushing yards and 244 total yards.
## Defensive line dominates Cowboys
Abdul Carter led with four quarterback pressures, rookie Arvell Reese recorded a tackle for loss, and Kayvon Thibodeaux looked noticeably quicker against a top-10 rushing offense.
## Odds context among contenders
The Rams lead at 12%, followed by the Bills at 9% and Chiefs at 7%. The Giants at 3% now rank ahead of the Patriots and Lions, both at 4%.
## Rams test awaits in Week 2
The Giants travel to Los Angeles to face the Rams on Monday Night Football in Week 2. The Rams currently hold the highest Super Bowl odds at 12%.
## Key takeaway

The Giants' Week 1 victory over the Cowboys tripled their Super Bowl odds on Kalshi, from 1% in early September to 3%, driven by an impressive offensive display and defensive turnaround.