# How to Calculate Default Alive Runway for Startups

> Startup runway spreadsheet shows when cash runs out before profit.
- Title: How to Calculate Default Alive Runway for Startups | Shortify
- Summary: Startup runway spreadsheet shows when cash runs out before profit. A startup with $600,000 cash, $30,000 monthly revenue, and $90,000 monthly expenses has a…
- Keywords: default alive, startup runway, revenue growth, expense growth, cash runway, profitability, committed spend, y combinator, paul graham, startup spreadsheet, Startup Fortune
- Source: Startup Fortune — https://startupfortune.com/how-to-calculate-default-alive-runway-for-startups-before-investors-ask
- Published: 2026-11-13T20:15:37+00:00
- Read time: 1 min
- Topics: default alive, startup runway, revenue growth, expense growth, cash runway, profitability, committed spend, y combinator, paul graham, startup spreadsheet, startups, business
## What is default alive runway?
A startup's cash runway without growth or commitments.

> A small spreadsheet shows which way, and by how many months
## Naive runway formula fails
It ignores growth and commitments, overstating or understating cash.

> You can be wrong by months either way
## Startup example with 12% growth
A company with $600,000 cash, $30,000 revenue, $90,000 expenses reaches profit in month 12.

> Revenue passes expenses in month 12, at about $116,900 against about $114,100
## 4% growth leads to cash runout
Same startup runs out of money in month 10 with 4% monthly revenue growth.

> Cash runs out in month 10
## Committed spend impacts runway
Two signed job offers worth $16,000 monthly push profitability from month 12 to 14.

> Profitability slips from month 12 to month 14
## How to build the spreadsheet
Six inputs: cash, revenue, expenses, revenue growth, expense growth, committed spend.

> That's all. Every extra input makes the answer feel more precise and makes it easier to fool yourself
## Monthly calculations
Revenue and expenses grow each month with formulas.

> Net is revenue minus expenses. Cash is last month's cash plus net
## Default alive test
Cash stays above zero until profitability is reached.

> The minimum of the cash column tells you how close you get to zero
## Growth rate accuracy
Use actual compound growth rate from last 3-6 months.

> If revenue went from $18,000 to $30,000 over six months, the monthly rate is (30,000/18,000)^(1/6)-1, about 8.9%
## Realistic growth rates
Most startups have 12% monthly growth, not 4%.

> A 7% weekly rate compounds to roughly 34% a month. Most founders reading this aren't near that
## Committed spend details
Signed offers, leases, contracts, and cloud services count as committed spend.

> An annual contract paid upfront for $36,000 is a $36,000 hit in one month
## Adjusting for reality
Split fixed and variable costs to avoid overestimating growth.

> Split the lump into fixed costs and variable costs as a percentage of revenue
## Growth decay
Growth rates slow over time, so test with declining rates.

> Add a column that shrinks the growth rate by 5% each month (multiply the previous month's rate by 0.95)
## Investor use of the model
Investors run similar calculations without seeing the spreadsheet.

> A founder who arrives with a growth-adjusted runway and a committed-spend schedule has answered the two questions the partner was about to ask
## Key takeaway

A startup with $600,000 cash, $30,000 monthly revenue, and $90,000 monthly expenses has a default alive runway of 10 months if revenue grows 12% monthly and expenses rise 2% monthly.